US-Israel-Iran War Latest Live News: Middle East crude oil exports surged above pre-war levels in four of the seven days during the final week of September 2026, despite intensifying tanker attacks in the region. Data from maritime tracking firm Kpler showed that exports peaked between 19.5 million and 22.5 million barrels per day (bpd) on September 24 and between September 27 and 29. This surpasses the region’s pre-conflict average of 18 million bpd maintained between March 2025 and February 2026, before the outbreak of the US-Israeli war with Iran.
The recovery highlights the industry’s shift toward alternative transport strategies to mitigate risks in the volatile Strait of Hormuz.
US-Israel-Iran War Latest Live News: Key Drivers & Regional Adaptations
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Bypassing the Strait: Approximately 40% of Middle Eastern oil exports now bypass the Strait of Hormuz entirely. Shippers are heavily relying on pipelines and conducting offshore ship-to-ship transfers in safer waters like the Gulf of Oman.
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Pipeline Infrastructure at Capacity: Most bypassed crude is flowing through Saudi Arabian and United Arab Emirates (UAE) networks. Saudi Arabia successfully reactivated its East–West pipeline to the Red Sea terminal of Yanbu on September 22 after briefly shutting down due to regional strikes. Similarly, the UAE is routing oil directly to its Fujairah terminal outside the strait.
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Shipping Volumes: The 7-day moving average for crude exports sat at 18.5 million bpd as of October 1. When factoring in refined oil products, chemicals, and non-gas liquids, the broader export tally averaged 22.4 million bpd for the week ending September 30.
Despite the record volume of outflows, maritime intelligence firms note that conditions are far from normal. Tanker attacks remain a daily threat, and Iran’s own volumes continue to be severely restricted by a US counter-blockade on its ports.
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